Four-State Evidence Taxonomy

Every edge declares its own evidence.

25.2%
Edges from observed public evidence
37.8%
Edges derived from transparent inference
37.0%
Edges classified as inferred with confidence tagging

The four-state taxonomy distinguishes the absence of evidence from the absence of state-knowledge. The first three states apply at the edge level. Observed evidence comes from a named public source. Derived evidence follows by transparent inference from observable structural data. Inferred evidence rests on patterns and carries explicit confidence tagging. The fourth state, Unknown, applies at the agent level for regulatory dimensions where evidence has not been ascertained either way. The discipline matters because the difference between "the institution does not have X" and "we have not established whether the institution has X" carries regulatory consequence. The substrate enforces that distinction in the schema.

Figure 1 · Edge Tier Composition + Agent-Level Unknown Rates
EDGE LEVEL · THREE EVIDENCE TIERS · 626,390 EDGES OBSERVED · 25.2% DERIVED · 37.8% INFERRED · 37.0% AGENT LEVEL · UNKNOWN RATE PER DIMENSION · 95,876 AGENTS halt 46.1% oversight class 9.1% EU AI Act high-risk 4.9% DORA relevant 1.5% data sensitivity 0.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Absence of evidence is recorded. It is never read as absence. MAR®500.com

The top panel shows the share of 626,390 governance edges in each evidence tier. The three tiers apply at the edge level: an edge is produced only if at least one of the three classifications applies. The bottom panel shows the agent-level Unknown rate per regulatory dimension across 95,876 agents. The Unknown state is operationally distinct from the absence of an edge: it represents an explicit acknowledgement that the dimension has not been ascertained for the agent. Halt mechanism state is unknown for 46.1 percent of agents; oversight class is unknown for 9.1 percent. The other three regulatory dimensions are unknown for less than 5 percent.

Source · Meridian substrate v13.1.0, May 2026 · Edge tiers from edges.evidence_tier; agent unknown rates per regulatory dimension Methodology · Stationary Sea Part 1 (Zenodo)
543 institutions · 12 sectors · 95,876 agents · 636,854 governance edges · substrate v13.1.0
Methodology grounded in The Stationary Sea (Part 1: Substrate Construction), Section 6 (Four-State Evidence Taxonomy).